Inter 2-1 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.8
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
17.8
X/1
17%
3.83
X/2
9%
13.65
X/X
8%
5.7
2/1
10%
24.65
2/2
6%
12.2
2/X
6%
20.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Inter win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
2.03/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.76
+21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
22.9 Crosses 13.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Udinese
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.39 xG 0.74
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
524 Passes 257
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.12.2024 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 2-0 Udinese Udinese İTK
28.09.2024 Udinese Udinese 2-3 HT 1-2 Inter Inter İTA
08.04.2024 Udinese Udinese 1-2 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
09.12.2023 Inter Inter 4-0 HT 3-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
18.02.2023 Inter Inter 3-1 HT 1-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
18.09.2022 Udinese Udinese 3-1 HT 1-1 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
2-1
AWAY Udinese
1.66 xG 0.68
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
473 Passes 299
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 12
7 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Inter vs Udinese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter squeezed past Udinese 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Inter had 60% of the ball to Udinese's 40%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.66 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Inter and 1.17 for Udinese.

What was the final score of Inter vs Udinese?

Inter 2-1 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Udinese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Inter 55%, draw 22%, Udinese 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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