SPAL 1-1 Legnago Salus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SPAL EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 25%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.58/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.31
+0% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SPAL
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Legnago Salus
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
17.11.2024 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 0-3 HT 0-1 SPAL SPAL İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SPAL
1-1
AWAY Legnago Salus
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SPAL vs Legnago Salus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SPAL and Legnago Salus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was SPAL at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, SPAL had 58% of the ball to Legnago Salus's 42%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of SPAL vs Legnago Salus?

SPAL 1-1 Legnago Salus in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SPAL vs Legnago Salus?

Before kick-off our model rated a SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split SPAL 43%, draw 27%, Legnago Salus 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SPAL), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SPAL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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