Virtus Verona 0-1 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
4.85
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.3pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -18%
1.26/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.19
+4% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pro Patria
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
17.12.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 2-0 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
26.02.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 2-0 HT 2-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
23.10.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
13.02.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-2 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
03.10.2021 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
0-1
AWAY Pro Patria
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria edged past Virtus Verona 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Virtus Verona at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 49% of the ball to Pro Patria's 51%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Virtus Verona and 0.83 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Pro Patria?

Virtus Verona 0-1 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 42%, draw 30%, Pro Patria 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Virtus Verona), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Verona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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