Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 30 Mar 2025

Tokushima Vortis
1-0 HT 0-0
Omiya Ardija
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Japan - J2 League – 2025

Tokushima Vortis vs Omiya Ardija Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.16
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tokushima Vortis v Omiya Ardija — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
0.93/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.14
-24% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
433 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.1 Crosses 9.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0

Tokushima Vortis vs Omiya Ardija Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
485 Passes 367
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-1 HT 0-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
07.05.2023 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-3 HT 0-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
16.10.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 3-1 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
19.03.2022 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 0-2 HT 0-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
16.12.2020 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-0 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
23.09.2020 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-2 HT 0-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2

Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Omiya Ardija — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1-0
AWAY Omiya Ardija
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
273 Passes 266
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis nicked a narrow win over Omiya Ardija 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Tokushima Vortis made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 51% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 49%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 0.67 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Omiya Ardija?

Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J2 League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 36%, draw 29%, Omiya Ardija 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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