Ujpest 2-2 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
15.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -14%
1.76/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.60
+4% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
17.7 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
4W-1D-1L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.65 xG 1.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
283 Passes 373
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 0-1 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
11.08.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 4-1 HT 3-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
03.03.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 2-0 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
04.11.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 2-1 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
29.07.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 2-1 HT 2-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
08.04.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
2-2
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.68 xG 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
325 Passes 254
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest and MOL Fehervar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ujpest had 55% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 45%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.68 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ujpest and 0.67 for MOL Fehervar.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs MOL Fehervar?

Ujpest 2-2 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 40%, draw 25%, MOL Fehervar 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ujpest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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