Worthing 0-2 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
2.03
Over
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.68
2-3
38%
1.8
4-5
24%
3.08
6+
10%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.68 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United The Market 34%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.92/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.19
+28% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Maidstone United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-2 HT 1-2 Worthing Worthing İCON
05.10.2024 Worthing Worthing 0-2 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
28.04.2024 Worthing Worthing 2-1 HT 1-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
16.12.2023 Worthing Worthing 5-1 HT 3-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
23.09.2023 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-0 HT 2-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
20.12.2022 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-0 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
0-2
AWAY Maidstone United
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United saw off Worthing 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Worthing at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Worthing had 59% of the ball to Maidstone United's 41%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Worthing and 1.83 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Maidstone United?

Worthing 0-2 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Worthing 43%, draw 28%, Maidstone United 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Worthing) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Under 2.5
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İCON More England - Conference
30 Apr 2025
22:00 Chester vs Buxton Analysis →