Chester vs Buxton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chester v Buxton — Team-Based Signals
Chester vs Buxton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chester 2-1 Buxton — Actual Match Statistics
Chester nicked a narrow win over Buxton 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Chester had 46% of the ball to Buxton's 54%, shots finished 18-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chester and 0.83 for Buxton.
What was the final score of Chester vs Buxton?
Chester 2-1 Buxton in the England - Conference on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chester vs Buxton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chester 46%, draw 27%, Buxton 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.