Buxton 2-4 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.55
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.18/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.37
-11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Chester
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 Chester Chester 0-1 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
29.03.2024 Buxton Buxton 1-4 HT 1-1 Chester Chester İCON
16.01.2024 Chester Chester 0-1 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
29.04.2023 Chester Chester 4-0 HT 2-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
24.09.2022 Buxton Buxton 0-0 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester saw off Buxton 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Chester found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Buxton and 1.60 for Chester.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Chester?

Buxton 2-4 Chester in the England - Conference on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Buxton 35%, draw 30%, Chester 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
11 Jan 2025
18:00 Rushall Olympic vs Scunthorpe United Analysis →
18:00 Tonbridge Angels vs Chippenham Town Analysis →
18:00 Weymouth vs Dorking Wanderers Analysis →
18:00 Weston-super-Mare vs St. Albans City Analysis →
18:00 Aveley vs Chesham United Analysis →
18:00 Maidstone United vs Enfield Town Analysis →