Queensland Lions 3-1 Gold Coast Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
53%
-16.1pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.6pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.3pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 27%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.72/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.68
+8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses 17.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queensland Lions
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gold Coast Knights
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.02.2025 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 3-1 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
31.08.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
18.08.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-0 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
18.05.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-1 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
13.08.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
06.05.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions saw off Gold Coast Knights 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Queensland Lions found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Queensland Lions and 1.83 for Gold Coast Knights.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?

Queensland Lions 3-1 Gold Coast Knights in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 37%, draw 31%, Gold Coast Knights 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVSQ More Australia - Queensland NPL
30 May 2025
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