Kauno Zalgiris 4-0 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.3
Draw
28%
4.81
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
73%
-21.2pp
28%
Draw
18%
+10.5pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 12%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.10/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.84
-49% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.02.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-3 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
03.11.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
11.08.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
15.06.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
14.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
28.09.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4-0
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris ran out comfortable winners over FK Dainava Alytus 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 65% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 35%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 0.50 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Kauno Zalgiris 4-0 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 51%, draw 28%, FK Dainava Alytus 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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