Dziugas Telsiai 4-0 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.35/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.60
+8% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2026 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
26.10.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-4 HT 0-3 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
08.08.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
13.06.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
12.04.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
22.10.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
4-0
AWAY FK Panevezys
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai ran out comfortable winners over FK Panevezys 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dziugas Telsiai as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dziugas Telsiai had 59% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 41%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dziugas Telsiai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dziugas Telsiai and 0.83 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys?

Dziugas Telsiai 4-0 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dziugas Telsiai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 41%, draw 26%, FK Panevezys 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dziugas Telsiai), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dziugas Telsiai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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