Banga Gargzdai 1-1 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.95
Over 2.5
58%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.75
No
39%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.0pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 26%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
3.40/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.42
+112% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FA Siauliai
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.04.2026 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
22.10.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-3 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
04.08.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
27.05.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITK
18.05.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-0 HT 2-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
05.04.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-2 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai and FA Siauliai shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Banga Gargzdai at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.17 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai?

Banga Gargzdai 1-1 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 53%, draw 22%, FA Siauliai 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Banga Gargzdai), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LITA More Lithuania - 1st Division
30 May 2026
14:15 Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys Analysis →