Molde 2-1 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 30 May 2026

Molde
2-1 HT 1-0
Sandefjord
📅30/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Molde vs Sandefjord Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.33
Over 2.5
68%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.6
No
38%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.65
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
2.71
6+ Goals
14%
7.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.71 — our 32% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
2.04
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.37
X/2
7%
9.92
X/X
7%
6.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.7
2/2
8%
7.16
2/X
6%
15.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.7 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
57%
+5.6pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.5pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-2.1pp
32%
Under 2.5
39%
-6.9pp
68%
Over 2.5
61%
+6.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.9pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Molde v Sandefjord — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
2.23/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.75
+34% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
34.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.2 Crosses 17.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Molde vs Sandefjord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sandefjord
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.62 xG 1.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
385 Passes 329
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2025 Molde Molde 1-3 HT 1-2 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
06.04.2025 Sandefjord Sandefjord 3-0 HT 2-0 Molde Molde NOR
19.10.2024 Molde Molde 0-1 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
05.05.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 3-1 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
12.08.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOR
29.05.2023 Molde Molde 5-0 HT 2-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR

Molde 2-1 Sandefjord — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
2-1
AWAY Sandefjord
1.08 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 10
395 Passes 380
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
40 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Molde vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde edged past Sandefjord 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Molde had 51% of the ball to Sandefjord's 49%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.08 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandefjord led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Molde and 2.00 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Molde vs Sandefjord?

Molde 2-1 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Molde 63%, draw 19%, Sandefjord 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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