Louisville City vs North Carolina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v North Carolina — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs North Carolina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
North Carolina
USLP
Louisville City edged past North Carolina 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Louisville City and 1.50 for North Carolina.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs North Carolina?
Louisville City 1-0 North Carolina in the USLKP on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs North Carolina?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 56%, draw 21%, North Carolina 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.