Fenerbahçe 2-1 Lugano — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Champions League, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 01:26
Match Result
HomeVIEW
76%
1.28
Draw
13%
5.24
Away
11%
7.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
2.44
Over
67%
1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.8
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.58
2-3
42%
2.02
4-5
32%
2.64
6+
11%
6.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1.5
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
3%
22.7
X/1
21%
3.52
X/2
4%
18.95
X/X
7%
8.66
2/1
3%
20.6
2/2
6%
13.75
2/X
3%
22.3
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fenerbahçe The Market 78%
Signal
AWAY Lugano The Market 14%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.41 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.84
0.80 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.51
Weak Attack Strength –
Weak Defense Strength –
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lugano
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.40 xG 1.28
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
351 Passes 456
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 5
23.07.2024 Lugano Lugano 3-4 HT 1-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
2 - 1
AWAY Lugano
1.92 xG 0.63
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
338 Passes 413
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Fenerbahçe vs Lugano
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fenerbahçe found just enough to beat Lugano 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Lugano saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.92 to 0.63 — on chances created, Fenerbahçe won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

Fenerbahçe vs Lugano Result & Final Score

Fenerbahçe 2 - 1 Lugano in the Champions League on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fenerbahçe vs Lugano Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 76%, draw 13%, Lugano 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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