Karabağ 5-0 Lincoln Red Imps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.51
Over
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
21%
5.47
2-3
42%
2.01
4-5
26%
2.66
6+
11%
6.44
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.47 — our 21% vs market 13.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Karabağ win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
63%
Home Win
76%
-13.0pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.6pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ The Market 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln Red Imps The Market 11%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.95/0.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.96
+24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +18%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Lincoln Red Imps
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2024 Lincoln Red Imps Lincoln Red Imps 0-2 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ ŞMP
19.07.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 4-0 HT 2-0 Lincoln Red Imps Lincoln Red Imps ŞMP
11.07.2023 Lincoln Red Imps Lincoln Red Imps 1-2 HT 1-0 Karabağ Karabağ ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karabağ
5-0
AWAY Lincoln Red Imps
69% Ball Possession 31%
22 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
16 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Lincoln Red Imps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ cruised past Lincoln Red Imps 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Karabağ had 69% of the ball to Lincoln Red Imps's 31%, shots finished 22-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Karabağ and 0.33 for Lincoln Red Imps.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Lincoln Red Imps?

Karabağ 5-0 Lincoln Red Imps in the Champions League on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Lincoln Red Imps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 63%, draw 21%, Lincoln Red Imps 17%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
30 Jul 2024
20:00 Petrocub vs APOEL Nicosia Analysis →
20:00 Fenerbahçe vs Lugano Analysis →
20:00 Sparta Prag vs Shamrock Rovers Analysis →
21:00 The New Saints vs Ferencvaros Analysis →
21:30 Slovan Bratislava vs Celje Analysis →
21:45 KI Klaksvik vs Malmö FF Analysis →