Petrocub 1-1 APOEL Nicosia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.6
Over
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.5
2-3
37%
1.78
4-5
18%
4.73
6+
8%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.5 — our 37% vs market 33.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrocub The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY APOEL Nicosia The Market 37%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.58
-26% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 2.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrocub
0W-0D-1L
AWAY APOEL Nicosia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 1
23.07.2024 APOEL Nicosia APOEL Nicosia 1-0 HT 1-0 Petrocub Petrocub ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrocub
1-1
AWAY APOEL Nicosia
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Petrocub vs APOEL Nicosia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrocub and APOEL Nicosia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Petrocub had 47% of the ball to APOEL Nicosia's 53%, shots finished 9-16.

What was the final score of Petrocub vs APOEL Nicosia?

Petrocub 1-1 APOEL Nicosia in the Champions League on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrocub vs APOEL Nicosia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Petrocub win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Petrocub 39%, draw 31%, APOEL Nicosia 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Petrocub), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Petrocub) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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