The New Saints 1-2 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
49%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
2.29
Over
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.74
2-3
41%
1.92
4-5
19%
2.83
6+
13%
7.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros The Market 60%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.58/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.44
-40% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +105%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
1.11 xG 1.81
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
270 Passes 502
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 37
9 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.07.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 5-0 HT 3-0 The New Saints The New Saints ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
1-2
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.08 xG 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
332 Passes 529
85% Pass Accuracy 91%
8 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros squeezed past The New Saints 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, The New Saints had 41% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 59%, shots finished 6-5, expected goals 1.08 to 1.00.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Ferencvaros?

The New Saints 1-2 Ferencvaros in the Champions League on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 25%, draw 26%, Ferencvaros 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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