Sparta Prag 4-2 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.61
Over
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.9
2-3
40%
2.06
4-5
23%
2.59
6+
15%
5.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Sparta Prag win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
63%
Home Win
77%
-14.7pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.4pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag The Market 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers The Market 11%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
5.52/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.19
+109% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +94%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
502 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.07.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
4-2
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag beat Shamrock Rovers 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 68% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 32%, shots finished 19-6.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Shamrock Rovers?

Sparta Prag 4-2 Shamrock Rovers in the Champions League on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 63%, draw 21%, Shamrock Rovers 17%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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