Empoli vs Pisa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Empoli v Pisa — Team-Based Signals
Empoli vs Pisa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Empoli 2-3 Pisa — Actual Match Statistics
Pisa squeezed past Empoli 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Pisa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Empoli had 58% of the ball to Pisa's 42%, shots finished 18-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Empoli and 1.17 for Pisa.
What was the final score of Empoli vs Pisa?
Empoli 2-3 Pisa in the Friendlies on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Empoli vs Pisa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Empoli 30%, draw 26%, Pisa 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pisa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.