Modena vs Pistoiese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Modena v Pistoiese — Team-Based Signals
Modena vs Pistoiese Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Modena 4-1 Pistoiese — Actual Match Statistics
Modena swept aside Pistoiese 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Modena as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Modena had 61% of the ball to Pistoiese's 39%, shots finished 15-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Modena had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Modena and 0.50 for Pistoiese.
What was the final score of Modena vs Pistoiese?
Modena 4-1 Pistoiese in the Friendlies on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Modena vs Pistoiese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Modena 59%, draw 22%, Pistoiese 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Modena), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.