St Malo US 1-0 Avranches — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Malo US EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Avranches EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
533 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH St Malo US vs Avranches
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Malo US nicked a narrow win over Avranches 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had St Malo US as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of St Malo US vs Avranches?

St Malo US 1-0 Avranches in the Friendlies on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Malo US vs Avranches?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Malo US win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St Malo US 41%, draw 31%, Avranches 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Malo US), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Malo US) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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