Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.09
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.53
6+ Goals
10%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.91
1/2
12%
33.0
1/X
4%
15.8
X/1
8%
7.74
X/2
11%
4.26
X/X
22%
3.53
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.78
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.7pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.7pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.24/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.96
+20% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +12%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
236 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.4 Crosses 19.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1W-1D-4L
AWAY River Plate
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.82 xG 1.51
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
227 Passes 414
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2026 River Plate River Plate 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
29.01.2026 River Plate River Plate 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
03.11.2025 River Plate River Plate 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
18.04.2025 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-3 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
17.08.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
18.03.2024 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1-0
AWAY River Plate
2.04 xG 0.30
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
126 Passes 541
18 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Gimnasia La Plata edged past River Plate 1-0 in the Argentina - Premier League on 30 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.04 to 0.30.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.83 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate?

Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 23%, draw 33%, River Plate 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (River Plate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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