Envigado 0-3 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
40%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
40%
Away Win
52%
-11.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 56%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.66/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.87
+46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Once Caldas
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.61 xG 1.04
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
215 Passes 340
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.07.2026 Once Caldas Once Caldas 3-0 HT 2-0 Envigado Envigado KOLK
14.09.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
01.05.2025 Envigado Envigado 1-2 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
21.09.2024 Envigado Envigado 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
10.03.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-1 HT 1-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
16.09.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas cruised past Envigado 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Once Caldas made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Envigado and 1.50 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Once Caldas?

Envigado 0-3 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Cup on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Envigado 31%, draw 30%, Once Caldas 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KOLK More Colombia - Cup
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