Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USL Championship, 30 Jul 2026

Louisville City
vs
Birmingham Legion
📅30/07/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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USL Championship – 2026

Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Louisville City v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Louisville City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.77 xG 1.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
317 Passes 339
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.06.2026 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-1 HT 1-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
15.06.2025 Louisville City Louisville City 4-2 HT 3-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
16.03.2025 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-1 HT 1-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
30.06.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-4 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
30.03.2024 Louisville City Louisville City 5-0 HT 2-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
20.08.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-0 HT 2-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
COMMENT Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in just 1 of Louisville City's last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Louisville City and 1.17 for Birmingham Legion.

When do Louisville City and Birmingham Legion play?

Louisville City play Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 30/07/2026, kick-off 02:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion?

Our model's prediction for Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion is a Louisville City win at about 66% probability, priced 1.43 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Louisville City 66%, draw 17%, Birmingham Legion 17%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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