Lincoln City 1-1 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
23%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
23.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.15
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
18%
4.59
X/2
7%
6.26
X/X
18%
4.08
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
10%
5.02
2/X
7%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.4pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.18/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.21
-15% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
263 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 66%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
17.3 Crosses 20.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mansfield Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.01 xG 0.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
264 Passes 509
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2025 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
24.08.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 4-1 HT 2-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN1
06.10.2020 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İNTK
18.03.2019 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN2
24.11.2018 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
04.09.2018 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-2 HT 1-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln City
1-1
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.39 xG 1.46
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
171 Passes 372
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 36
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lincoln City vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City and Mansfield Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lincoln City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Lincoln City had 35% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 65%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.39 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lincoln City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lincoln City and 1.00 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Mansfield Town?

Lincoln City 1-1 Mansfield Town in the England - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 46%, draw 31%, Mansfield Town 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lincoln City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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