Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.57
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.63
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
16%
4.98
X/2
13%
5.64
X/X
9%
3.9
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
20%
4.39
2/X
9%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.03/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.14
-19% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
240 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 65%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.5 Crosses 15.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.83 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
200 Passes 224
62% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
26.12.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 0-3 HT 0-2 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
24.02.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
11.11.2023 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
10.10.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 0-1 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNTK
20.09.2022 Stevenage Stevenage 3-0 HT 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
1-0
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
1.00 xG 0.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
165 Passes 328
61% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Wycombe Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage nicked a narrow win over Wycombe Wanderers 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Stevenage found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stevenage had 38% of the ball to Wycombe Wanderers's 62%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.00 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stevenage and 0.83 for Wycombe Wanderers.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 37%, draw 25%, Wycombe Wanderers 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5
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