Stade Ouchy 2-0 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.15
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 22%
-12% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.70/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.17
-24% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
18.0 Crosses 13.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.86 xG 1.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
298 Passes 392
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-2 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
31.01.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-0 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
25.10.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
27.09.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 5-1 HT 2-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
2-0
AWAY Etoile Carouge
3.34 xG 0.58
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
406 Passes 194
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
40 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy beat Etoile Carouge 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stade Ouchy as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 61% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 39%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 3.34 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Stade Ouchy and 0.75 for Etoile Carouge.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge?

Stade Ouchy 2-0 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 57%, draw 22%, Etoile Carouge 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Ouchy) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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