Napoli vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities
Napoli v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Napoli 1-0 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics
Napoli nicked a narrow win over Cagliari 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — no to both teams scoring (58%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 67% to 33% in Napoli's favour, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.58 to 0.53.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Napoli against 0.50 for Cagliari.
Napoli vs Cagliari Result & Final Score
Napoli 1 - 0 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Napoli vs Cagliari Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Napoli 70%, draw 20%, Cagliari 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.