Parma 1-1 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 30 Aug 2025

Parma
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Atalanta
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Parma vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
54%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.54
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
24%
3.14
6+
6%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.56
1/2 ✗
4%
22.35
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
9%
8.64
X/2
18%
4.39
X/X
15%
5.13
2/1
1%
34.5
2/2
32%
2.31
2/X
5%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.35 — our 4% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Parma v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Parma The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta The Market 56%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.23 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.86
1.46 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.95
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Strong
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 83%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Parma vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Atalanta
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.52 xG 2.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
381 Passes 464
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.05.2025 Atalanta Atalanta 2-3 HT 2-0 Parma Parma İTA
23.11.2024 Parma Parma 1-3 HT 0-2 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
04.08.2024 Parma Parma 4-1 HT 2-1 Atalanta Atalanta HAZ
09.05.2021 Parma Parma 2-5 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
06.01.2021 Atalanta Atalanta 3-0 HT 1-0 Parma Parma İTA
28.07.2020 Parma Parma 1-2 HT 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA

Parma 1-1 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
1 - 1
AWAY Atalanta
0.68 xG 0.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
269 Passes 334
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Parma vs Atalanta
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Parma and Atalanta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We leaned Atalanta at 54% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Parma had 46% of the ball to Atalanta's 54%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.68 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Parma and 2.67 for Atalanta.

Parma vs Atalanta Result & Final Score

Parma 1 - 1 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Parma vs Atalanta Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Parma 21%, draw 25%, Atalanta 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atalanta), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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