Araz Nahçıvan 2-1 Qabala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.7pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Qabala EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.23/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.72
-17% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Qabala
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.03.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
09.02.2024 Qabala Qabala 2-0 HT 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERK
31.01.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-1 Qabala Qabala AZERK
22.10.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-4 HT 1-2 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
12.08.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 2-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Qabala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan edged past Qabala 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Araz Nahçıvan as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 1.00 for Qabala.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Qabala?

Araz Nahçıvan 2-1 Qabala in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Qabala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 46%, draw 31%, Qabala 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
30 Aug 2025
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