Zira 5-0 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 30 Aug 2025

Zira
5-0 HT 3-0
Kapaz
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
68%
-2.0pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.7pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.1pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.85/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.16
-17% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Kapaz
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
26.04.2025 Kapaz Kapaz 0-1 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
24.02.2025 Zira Zira 2-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
08.12.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-4 HT 0-2 Zira Zira AZERS
28.09.2024 Zira Zira 3-0 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
18.05.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-1 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
16.03.2024 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira swept aside Kapaz 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zira and 0.17 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Zira vs Kapaz?

Zira 5-0 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Zira 66%, draw 19%, Kapaz 15%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
30 Aug 2025
00:00 Araz Nahçıvan vs Qabala Analysis →