Sporting Charleroi 3-1 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.24
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
19%
4.25
X/2
10%
9.16
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.2
2/2
7%
7.28
2/X
8%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.2 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.89/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.21
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
19.5 Crosses 16.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dender EH
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.21 xG 0.64
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
475 Passes 272
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
38 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 4-1 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
22.04.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 2-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
01.02.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 5-0 HT 3-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
05.10.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
16.05.2009 Dender EH Dender EH 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
20.12.2008 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
3-1
AWAY Dender EH
1.89 xG 0.52
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
390 Passes 354
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi got the better of Dender EH 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Charleroi as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 51% of the ball to Dender EH's 49%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.89 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 0.83 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Dender EH?

Sporting Charleroi 3-1 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 54%, draw 24%, Dender EH 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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