Zimbru 5-0 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.11
Draw
14%
8.78
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
2%
1/X
2%
X/1
36%
X/2
2%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
85%
-5.6pp
14%
Draw
8%
+5.7pp
6%
Away Win
6%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
3.12/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/3.48
+15% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -32%
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
345 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2025 Sparta Selemet 0-6 HT 0-3 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
04.05.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 6-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
30.03.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 3-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
10.11.2024 Sparta Selemet 1-3 HT 1-2 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
19.08.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 2-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
5-0
AWAY Sparta Selemet
69% Ball Possession 31%
25 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru ran out comfortable winners over Sparta Selemet 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zimbru as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zimbru had 69% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 31%, shots finished 25-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zimbru had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Zimbru and 0.40 for Sparta Selemet.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs Sparta Selemet?

Zimbru 5-0 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - National League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 80%, draw 14%, Sparta Selemet 6%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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