Kongsvinger 1-1 Ranheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.74
Over 2.5
57%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.87
2-3 Goals
39%
2.03
4-5 Goals
26%
2.41
6+ Goals
13%
5.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.3pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ranheim EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.95/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.06
+1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ranheim
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Ranheim Ranheim 2-1 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
03.08.2024 Ranheim Ranheim 2-2 HT 1-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
01.04.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 2-1 HT 0-1 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
09.08.2023 Ranheim Ranheim 1-4 HT 0-2 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
11.06.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 3-0 HT 1-0 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
10.10.2022 Ranheim Ranheim 0-2 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger vs Ranheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger and Ranheim couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kongsvinger at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kongsvinger had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kongsvinger and 1.00 for Ranheim.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs Ranheim?

Kongsvinger 1-1 Ranheim in the Norway - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs Ranheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 55%, draw 22%, Ranheim 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kongsvinger), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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