Lilleström 3-1 Skeid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
6.74
2-3 Goals
37%
2.14
4-5 Goals
25%
2.32
6+ Goals
12%
4.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
80%
-8.0pp
17%
Draw
13%
+4.3pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+3.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Skeid EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.63/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.81
-38% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +30%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
504 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 187 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Skeid
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
12.05.2025 Skeid Skeid 1-1 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR1
01.08.2021 Skeid Skeid 1-2 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
3-1
AWAY Skeid
62% Ball Possession 38%
30 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Skeid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström beat Skeid 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lilleström had 62% of the ball to Skeid's 38%, shots finished 30-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lilleström had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lilleström and 1.00 for Skeid.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Skeid?

Lilleström 3-1 Skeid in the Norway - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Skeid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 72%, draw 17%, Skeid 10%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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