Stabaek 1-1 Start — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

Stabaek
1-1 HT 0-1
Start
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2025

Stabaek vs Start Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
52%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.21
Over 2.5
66%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.53
No
35%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
29%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.7pp
52%
Away Win
45%
+7.1pp
34%
Under 2.5
41%
-7.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
59%
+7.2pp
65%
BTTS Yes
61%
+4.1pp
35%
BTTS No
39%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stabaek v Start — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Start EU Bookmakers 49%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.50/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.23
+5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4

Stabaek vs Start Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Start
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.77 xG 1.30
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
242 Passes 278
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.06.2025 Start Start 5-1 HT 1-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
21.09.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 2-3 HT 1-2 Start Start NOR1
16.06.2024 Start Start 4-3 HT 2-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
21.08.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 5-0 HT 2-0 Start Start NOR1
19.06.2022 Start Start 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
27.09.2020 Stabaek Stabaek 2-0 HT 0-0 Start Start NOR
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Start
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek and Start couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Start at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (65%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Start led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Stabaek and 2.00 for Start.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Start?

Stabaek 1-1 Start in the Norway - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Start?

Before kick-off our model rated an Start win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 27%, draw 21%, Start 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Start), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Start) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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