Moss 3-1 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.63
No
36%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
28%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
8.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
57%
+6.5pp
36%
BTTS No
43%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.91/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.88
-1% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mjondalen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 Mjondalen Mjondalen 2-2 HT 0-1 Moss Moss NOR1
01.09.2024 Moss Moss 1-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
27.05.2024 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-2 HT 0-1 Moss Moss NOR1
20.08.2023 Moss Moss 4-1 HT 2-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
01.07.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-2 HT 0-1 Moss Moss NOR1
24.10.2010 Moss Moss 1-1 HT 0-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
POST-MATCH Moss vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss beat Mjondalen 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moss as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moss had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Moss and 1.00 for Mjondalen.

What was the final score of Moss vs Mjondalen?

Moss 3-1 Mjondalen in the Norway - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Moss 54%, draw 24%, Mjondalen 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moss), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moss) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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