AVS 0-1 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
55%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
4.55
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.42
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
5%
7.52
X/2
15%
4.22
X/X
10%
4.03
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
35%
2.67
2/X EV+ ✗
8%
14.4
Value flag · 2/X at 14.4 — our 8% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
55%
Away Win
48%
+6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AVS EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao EU Bookmakers 52%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.03/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.65
-32% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
12.7 Crosses 20.9
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AVS
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Famalicao
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.21 xG 2.26
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
286 Passes 404
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Famalicao Famalicao 4-1 HT 0-0 AVS AVS POR
03.11.2024 AVS AVS 2-3 HT 2-2 Famalicao Famalicao POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AVS
0-1
AWAY Famalicao
0.66 xG 0.79
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
227 Passes 299
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 37
23 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AVS vs Famalicao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao squeezed past AVS 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Famalicao as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, AVS had 45% of the ball to Famalicao's 55%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.66 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Famalicao led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AVS and 3.50 for Famalicao.

What was the final score of AVS vs Famalicao?

AVS 0-1 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AVS vs Famalicao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split AVS 22%, draw 23%, Famalicao 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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