Neftekhimik 1-1 Chelyabinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.4pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.5pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelyabinsk EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.02/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-13% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -45%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
1-1
AWAY Chelyabinsk
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftekhimik and Chelyabinsk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 48% of the ball to Chelyabinsk's 52%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk?

Neftekhimik 1-1 Chelyabinsk in the Russia - FNL on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 36%, draw 27%, Chelyabinsk 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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