FK Ufa 4-0 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.53
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+2.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.2pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 16%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.00/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.31
+24% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Ufa
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Chayka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
02.03.2025 Chayka Chayka 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
20.09.2024 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-1 HT 0-1 Chayka Chayka RUS1
25.09.2019 Chayka Chayka 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Ufa
4-0
AWAY Chayka
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FK Ufa vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Ufa swept aside Chayka 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Ufa as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, FK Ufa had 44% of the ball to Chayka's 56%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Ufa and 0.67 for Chayka.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs Chayka?

FK Ufa 4-0 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Ufa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 55%, draw 29%, Chayka 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Ufa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Ufa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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