Shinnik 1-0 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
0.94/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.28
-20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
246 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Chernomorets
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2025 Shinnik Shinnik 0-2 HT 0-2 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
03.11.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-1 HT 0-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
18.03.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 1-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
09.09.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 2-1 HT 1-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
1-0
AWAY Chernomorets
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik squeezed past Chernomorets 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Shinnik found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shinnik had 55% of the ball to Chernomorets's 45%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Shinnik and 1.00 for Chernomorets.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs Chernomorets?

Shinnik 1-0 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shinnik win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 36%, draw 28%, Chernomorets 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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