Rotor Volgograd 1-2 Spartak Kostroma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.2pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.2pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotor Volgograd EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
1.14/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +113% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotor Volgograd
1-2
AWAY Spartak Kostroma
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rotor Volgograd vs Spartak Kostroma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Kostroma edged past Rotor Volgograd 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rotor Volgograd at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rotor Volgograd had 60% of the ball to Spartak Kostroma's 40%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Rotor Volgograd vs Spartak Kostroma?

Rotor Volgograd 1-2 Spartak Kostroma in the Russia - FNL on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotor Volgograd vs Spartak Kostroma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotor Volgograd win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rotor Volgograd 48%, draw 26%, Spartak Kostroma 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rotor Volgograd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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