Steinbach 4-2 Bayern Alzenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.21
Over 2.5
65%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+0.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.0pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Steinbach EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Alzenau EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.80/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.48
-15% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Steinbach
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bayern Alzenau
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
17.04.2021 Steinbach Steinbach 4-0 HT 1-0 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau ALMBÖL
24.10.2020 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau 1-3 HT 1-1 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Steinbach vs Bayern Alzenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Steinbach got the better of Bayern Alzenau 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Steinbach as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Steinbach had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Steinbach and 0.50 for Bayern Alzenau.

What was the final score of Steinbach vs Bayern Alzenau?

Steinbach 4-2 Bayern Alzenau in the Germany - Regional League on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Steinbach vs Bayern Alzenau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Steinbach win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Steinbach 64%, draw 20%, Bayern Alzenau 17%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Steinbach), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Steinbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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