Ashton United 1-2 Runcorn Linnets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 30 Sep 2025

Ashton United
1-2 HT 1-2
Runcorn Linnets
📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Ashton United vs Runcorn Linnets Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ashton United v Runcorn Linnets — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Runcorn Linnets EU Bookmakers 27%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards –

Ashton United vs Runcorn Linnets Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Runcorn Linnets
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
27.09.2025 Runcorn Linnets 1-1 HT 1-0 Ashton United Ashton United FAK
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Runcorn Linnets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Runcorn Linnets edged past Ashton United 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ashton United at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Runcorn Linnets?

Ashton United 1-2 Runcorn Linnets in the England - FA Cup on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Runcorn Linnets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 51%, draw 21%, Runcorn Linnets 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ashton United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ashton United) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
30 Sep 2025
21:45 Dorking Wanderers vs Salisbury Analysis →
21:45 Darlington 1883 vs AFC Fylde Analysis →
21:45 Hereford FC vs Hemel Hempstead Town Analysis →
21:45 Billericay Town vs Hednesford Town Analysis →
21:45 Tonbridge Angels vs Cray Valley PM Analysis →