Tonbridge Angels 5-0 Cray Valley PM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.03
Over 2.5
61%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
45%
-6.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
55%
+6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cray Valley PM EU Bookmakers 34%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+31% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
355 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cray Valley PM
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27.09.2025 Cray Valley PM Cray Valley PM 0-0 HT 0-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels FAK
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Cray Valley PM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels swept aside Cray Valley PM 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Tonbridge Angels made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Cray Valley PM?

Tonbridge Angels 5-0 Cray Valley PM in the England - FA Cup on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Cray Valley PM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tonbridge Angels win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 39%, draw 25%, Cray Valley PM 37%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tonbridge Angels), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tonbridge Angels) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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