Darlington 1883 3-1 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
33%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 48%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.97/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.37
+41% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
93 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 95 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
2W-1D-3L
AWAY AFC Fylde
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-2 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 FAK
19.08.2025 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-3 HT 1-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
11.03.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-2 HT 1-2 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
12.11.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-2 HT 1-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
22.02.2022 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-2 HT 0-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
11.12.2021 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
3-1
AWAY AFC Fylde
39% Ball Possession 61%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 beat AFC Fylde 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Darlington 1883 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 39% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 61%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Darlington 1883 and 1.83 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs AFC Fylde?

Darlington 1883 3-1 AFC Fylde in the England - FA Cup on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 37%, draw 24%, AFC Fylde 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Fylde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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