Dorking Wanderers 4-2 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-3.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+3.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.5pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.00/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.68
-3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -37%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Salisbury
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2025 Salisbury Salisbury 1-1 HT 0-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers FAK
08.02.2025 Salisbury Salisbury 0-2 HT 0-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
19.10.2024 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-3 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers beat Salisbury 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 1.33 for Salisbury.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Salisbury?

Dorking Wanderers 4-2 Salisbury in the England - FA Cup on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 55%, draw 24%, Salisbury 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
30 Sep 2025
21:45 Darlington 1883 vs AFC Fylde Analysis →
21:45 Hereford FC vs Hemel Hempstead Town Analysis →
21:45 Billericay Town vs Hednesford Town Analysis →
21:45 Tonbridge Angels vs Cray Valley PM Analysis →
21:45 Ashton United vs Runcorn Linnets Analysis →