Hereford FC 0-3 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 36%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
283 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
0-3
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town swept aside Hereford FC 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Hemel Hempstead Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hereford FC had 47% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 53%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Hereford FC 0-3 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - FA Cup on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 35%, draw 28%, Hemel Hempstead Town 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
30 Sep 2025
21:45 Dorking Wanderers vs Salisbury Analysis →
21:45 Darlington 1883 vs AFC Fylde Analysis →
21:45 Billericay Town vs Hednesford Town Analysis →
21:45 Tonbridge Angels vs Cray Valley PM Analysis →
21:45 Ashton United vs Runcorn Linnets Analysis →