USM Khenchela 0-1 MC Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.41
Over 2.5
35%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.9
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.34
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
67%
-1.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
33%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Alger EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +16%
0.69/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.70
-32% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
239 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
0W-2D-4L
AWAY MC Alger
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 MC Alger MC Alger 2-2 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
18.10.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-1 HT 0-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
11.05.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-1 HT 1-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
30.03.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-2 HT 0-2 MC Alger MC Alger CZYRK
16.12.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 3-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
30.05.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Khenchela
0-1
AWAY MC Alger
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs MC Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger squeezed past USM Khenchela 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day MC Alger made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, USM Khenchela had 52% of the ball to MC Alger's 48%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Alger led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for USM Khenchela and 1.67 for MC Alger.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs MC Alger?

USM Khenchela 0-1 MC Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs MC Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 36%, draw 29%, MC Alger 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (USM Khenchela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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